Policy Analysis

The SBA pivot
that changed lending.

Goliath Underwriting Desk · December 6, 2022

Before the pandemic, the Small Business Administration was a government agency with a thousand-times-smaller footprint than what it became in 2020 and 2021. Two and a half years after the largest emergency lending program in American history, the agency that emerged is structurally different — faster, broader, and more central to the small business lending market — than the one that existed in February 2020. The legacy is still being written.

In fiscal year 2019, the SBA's flagship 7(a) program approved $28 billion in guaranteed loans across roughly 52,000 transactions. That was the largest year in the agency's history at the time. Between April 2020 and May 2021, the agency moved approximately $800 billion in PPP loans across 11.8 million transactions and roughly $390 billion in EIDL working capital loans across millions more. The pandemic programs were roughly forty times the agency's normal annual volume measured in dollars, and several hundred times by transaction count, executed in less than two years.

The pre-pandemic SBA

Going into 2020, the SBA was a recognizable institution to small business owners but not a central one. The agency's primary function was guaranteeing loans made by approved lenders — typically banks and a small number of non-bank Small Business Lending Companies (SBLCs) — through the 7(a) and 504 programs. A 7(a) loan was an attractive product if you could get one: long terms (up to 25 years for real estate, 10 years for working capital), competitive rates, and reduced collateral requirements thanks to the SBA guarantee.

The product was also famously slow. Pre-pandemic SBA loans typically took 30 to 90 days from application to closing, with bank-level underwriting layered on top of SBA-specific compliance review and approval. The package of documents required ran 50 to 150 pages for a typical working capital request. Borrower fatigue was a known problem. Many operators started SBA applications and dropped out partway through in favor of faster non-bank capital.

The agency's footprint in the broader small business credit market was modest. 7(a) loan originations represented somewhere between 2% and 5% of total small business credit by dollar volume in a typical year. The agency mattered to a specific borrower profile — usually a business buying real estate, financing equipment, or pursuing a long-amortization expansion — and was largely invisible to the typical working capital borrower.

The PPP execution

The Paycheck Protection Program, authorized by the CARES Act on March 27, 2020, asked the SBA to execute the largest single small business lending program in American history on roughly seven days of preparation. The program launched on April 3, 2020, and the first $349 billion tranche was exhausted on April 16 — thirteen days. Congress added $310 billion on April 24. A third round of $284 billion was authorized in December 2020 and rolled out as PPP2 in January 2021.

The execution was famously messy at the beginning. The SBA's E-Tran system, designed for the agency's normal annual volume, was not built for the throughput required. Bank lenders prioritized existing customers, which left operators without strong bank relationships locked out of the first round. Some prominent fraud cases — large loans to ineligible borrowers — drew immediate scrutiny. The early days of PPP were not a story of an agency performing well; they were a story of an agency surviving an emergency it had not been designed for.

But the second and third tranches showed real institutional adaptation. The SBA added set-asides for community banks and CDFIs to reach borrowers the large bank channel was missing. It approved fintechs — BlueVine, Kabbage, Square, PayPal, Lendio, and others — as PPP lenders, expanding the distribution dramatically. Eligibility rules were refined. The forgiveness process, initially cumbersome, was streamlined for smaller loans (under $150,000 first, then progressively higher ceilings). By the time the program closed, it had reached an order of magnitude more borrowers than the agency had ever reached.

EIDL: the quieter program with larger reach

The Economic Injury Disaster Loan program was structurally different from PPP and is less often discussed, but its long-term effects on small business balance sheets may turn out to be larger. EIDL provided traditional working capital loans — up to $2 million per borrower at 3.75% interest with a 30-year term — paired with a separate advance grant that did not have to be repaid.

Unlike PPP, EIDL loans are sitting on millions of small business balance sheets right now and will be there for decades. The 30-year amortization is extraordinary by small business lending standards — almost nothing else in the private market amortizes that slowly — which means the EIDL line item on a business's balance sheet is now a long-term feature of how the company is financed. Underwriters at non-bank lenders are still developing the conventions for how to weight EIDL debt service in working capital underwriting decisions, since the debt is real but the payments are unusually small relative to balance.

EIDL processing also went through several waves. The initial advance grants in spring 2020 were criticized for being limited to $1,000 per employee, well below what many businesses had been told to expect. Later in 2020 and 2021, loan limits were raised — first to $500,000 then to $2 million — and the SBA re-opened applications for businesses that had been initially declined or underfunded. The total disbursed across the program ultimately reached approximately $390 billion in loans plus around $32 billion in grant advances.

The fintech approval moment

One of the most consequential institutional shifts of the pandemic period was the SBA's approval of fintechs as PPP lenders. Companies that had spent the previous decade building online small business lending platforms — BlueVine, Kabbage, Square Capital, PayPal Working Capital, Lendio, Funding Circle, and others — were brought into the SBA ecosystem at scale, in some cases for the first time.

The implications go beyond PPP. The mass approval normalized the idea of non-bank participation in SBA-backed lending. It built relationships, processes, and trust between the SBA and the fintech ecosystem that had not previously existed. By 2022, the policy conversation around expanding the non-bank lender pool for the core 7(a) program had gained real momentum — partly because the pandemic had demonstrated that fintechs could process SBA-backed lending at scale, and partly because the SBA's mandate to reach underserved borrowers aligned with fintech distribution capabilities that traditional banks couldn't match.

The SBA is now working through the regulatory framework for adding new SBLC licenses — the first material expansion of non-bank SBA lender access in decades. The pace is slow, and the outcome is uncertain, but the conversation is real in a way it wasn't in February 2020. The pandemic accelerated an institutional reform that had been talked about for years.

Community Advantage and the CDFI moment

The other under-discussed institutional change is what happened to the SBA's Community Advantage program. Community Advantage is a pilot program that allows mission-oriented lenders — primarily CDFIs — to make smaller SBA-guaranteed loans (up to $350,000 as of 2022) with streamlined underwriting, targeted at underserved markets.

The program had been on the brink of being allowed to expire before the pandemic. CDFIs were one of the lender channels that performed best in PPP at reaching truly small businesses and minority-owned businesses — exactly the borrowers the larger bank channel was systematically missing. The pandemic made the case for the CDFI channel impossible to ignore, and the SBA has been working in 2022 to extend Community Advantage permanently and expand its parameters.

Fee waivers, ceiling raises, and ongoing reform

The SBA's pandemic response included a series of fee waivers and structural changes that have partially carried over into the post-pandemic period. Fee waivers on 7(a) loans during parts of fiscal year 2021 and 2022 dramatically improved the economics of smaller SBA loans, both for borrowers and for participating lenders. Some of these have been allowed to lapse, but the policy debate around whether SBA fees on smaller loans should be permanently reduced has become a central question.

The ceiling raise discussion is the most consequential active reform topic. The 7(a) loan ceiling has been $5 million since 2010 — a number that small business inflation and the growth of middle-market small businesses have arguably rendered too low. Industry advocates are pushing for $7 million to $10 million ceilings. As of late 2022, no formal raise has been enacted, but the conversation has more momentum than at any point in the last decade.

The strain side of the pivot

The pandemic pivot did not come without costs. The agency took on enormous operational stress and lasting reputational damage from PPP fraud cases — some involving organized fraud rings, some involving improperly large loans to ineligible borrowers, and a long tail of borderline forgiveness disputes that the agency is still working through. The Department of Justice and the SBA's Inspector General have been pursuing PPP fraud cases throughout 2022, and the agency's prosecution-and-clawback burden will continue for years.

The EIDL portfolio is another long-term operational challenge. Hundreds of billions of dollars in 30-year, 3.75% loans now sit on the SBA's books, serviced by the agency directly. Default rates on EIDL are running higher than on traditional 7(a) loans, partly because EIDL borrowers were operating in economic stress when the loans were made and partly because the lending standards were necessarily loose during the emergency. Managing the EIDL portfolio responsibly across the next several decades is a major ongoing obligation.

What the post-pandemic SBA looks like

The agency that exists at the end of 2022 is structurally different from the agency that existed before the pandemic. It is faster — average 7(a) processing times have dropped meaningfully relative to 2019. It is broader — fintechs participate as lenders, CDFIs have a larger profile, and the conversations around lender pool expansion are active. It carries more loans — EIDL alone is a multi-decade portfolio. And it is more central to the small business credit conversation than it has been in a generation.

The legacy effects matter for operators. The SBA is no longer a niche slow option for real estate financing. It is a recognized lender of working capital, expansion finance, and acquisition financing, with processing times that — while still slower than non-bank alternatives — are no longer prohibitive for many use cases. The 7(a) loan in 2022 is a more accessible product than the 7(a) loan in 2019. The 7(a) loan in 2025 or 2026, if the current reform conversations continue to advance, may be a meaningfully different product still. The pivot is not over.

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